PENNSYLVANIA, explained by Seth Keshel
Biden – 3.458m (50.0%)
Trump – 3.338m (48.8%)
Red – Major Fraud
Yellow – Likely/Suspect
Green – Low/No Fraud
Even worse than I thought. PA was a slam dunk for Trump, with a 244k-12k (21 to 1 ratio) of net new registration in.4 years that previously predicted Trump flip in 2016.
This is horrific. Only 3 counties I see as relatively clean, with 27 classified as major. 60 of 67 counties should have been more GOP than last time per registration trends, but only 20 trended more GOP. This flipped Erie and Northampton, which should have been slam dunks.
Trump crushed Obama ’08 total in a shrinking state, only to be passed on strength of what I assess to be 504k excess votes!
Trump margin, if accurate, should have been 52.0% to 46.1% (5.9%), or 424k votes. A bludgeoning in keeping with registration trend.