PENNSYLVANIA, explained by Seth Keshel

Biden – 3.458m (50.0%)

Trump – 3.338m (48.8%)

Red – Major Fraud

Yellow – Likely/Suspect

Green – Low/No Fraud

Even worse than I thought.  PA was a slam dunk for Trump, with a 244k-12k (21 to 1 ratio) of net new registration in.4 years that previously predicted Trump flip in 2016.

This is horrific.  Only 3 counties I see as relatively clean, with 27 classified as major.  60 of 67 counties should have been more GOP than last time per registration trends, but only 20 trended more GOP.  This flipped Erie and Northampton, which should have been slam dunks.

Trump crushed Obama ’08 total in a shrinking state, only to be passed on strength of what I assess to be 504k excess votes!


Allegheny 50k

Berks 20k

Bucks 20k

Chester 15k

Erie 15k

Lackawanna 12k

Lehigh 12k

Luzerne 15k

Montgomery 30k

Northampton 20k

Philadelphia 40k

Washington 15k

Westmoreland 18k

York 25k

Trump margin, if accurate, should have been 52.0% to 46.1% (5.9%), or 424k votes.  A bludgeoning in keeping with registration trend.