by Just Human

Before any kinetic action against Taiwan, China is going to first demand the US pullout troops and assets that are currently there training Taiwanese.

I still don’t think China will actually invade Taiwan. Their military is shit and they know that. 

I do think they will demand a US withdrawal from Taiwan, though (hello Afghanistan 2.0).

To me, we are seeing Regions of Responsibility develop. That’s what I call them, anyway.

US/NATO pull back, regional actors take responsibility for their neighborhood. 

No more US/NATO World Police.

This is what happened in Afghanistan and Iran where now the GCC and Abraham Accord nations have far more influence and responsibility.

It’s happening in Ukraine w/ Russia taking responsibility for that area. 

I think it will happen next in Taiwan. Japan, Australia, India… will take responsibility for China/Taiwan. 

In all three areas US/NATO just need to back away. That’s all.

I called the first two regional scenarios(Afghanistan and Ukraine) accurately, though I was not aware of the Biolabs in Ukraine. 

I am feeling confident I have the third regional scenario well assessed. US will withdraw, to Japan and Guam, as Taiwan’s neighbors step up to face down CCP aggression. 

The Biden Admin will experience a Ground Hog Day- like Afghanistan 2.0, with massive media coverage and max embarrassment on the national and international stage.

Regions of Responsibility. 

That’s what Trump has created in the Middle East, what is being created in Ukraine, and what will be created in the Pacific.

Trump truly changed the World.